Dear MEPIN Readers,
As negotiations move to Oman, the birthplace of the original Iran nuclear deal 14 years ago, the Middle East again stands at a crossroads: limited agreement or military confrontation.
The outcome will depend on America’s objective and whether it can be achieved without a prolonged campaign. Iran’s priority is regime survival, while President Trump seeks to avoid deeper entanglement, remembering the lesson of Iraq. But a key wild card remains: Will Israel resist and unilaterally act if the deal ignores Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal, an existential threat to the Jewish State?
Watch my analysis for what this means for the region. — Eric