Who’s Winning the Iran War? Interceptor Math and the U.S. Political Clock

Dear MEPIN Readers,

In my i24TV interview, I examine several factors that will determine how this war is ultimately judged:

• How to assess who ultimately won the war
• The U.S. political clock: public and congressional patience may erode after ~60 days.
• Iran’s incentive to target Americans to weaken domestic support in the United States.
• The interceptor–missile balance: Tehran appears to be betting that Gulf partners exhaust interceptors before Iran exhausts drones and missiles.
• How to read wartime polling

Best, Eric